A Bank in a Nutshell

Businesses rely heavily on information and data. Many businesses actually store data. Some businesses use this data to derive statistics and models which are then used in an attempt to make the business more profitable, more efficient and streamlined. In other cases, models are used to produce forecasts, improve resource allocation, perform scenario analysis or … More A Bank in a Nutshell

War in Afghanistan – Resilience Measures Victory. Or Defeat.

After 20 years of Operation Enduring Freedom and 2 trillion dollars, Afghanistan is now in the hands of the Taliban. Western coalition forces have withdrawn from a devastated country in which the Taleban – al Qaida relationship is as robust as ever. There are, however, some positive consequences of the twenty-year efforts, such as reduced … More War in Afghanistan – Resilience Measures Victory. Or Defeat.

How Complexity Anticipates Black Swans – the 2020 Market Crash

From Wikipedia: The 2020 stock market crash was a global stock market crash that began on 20 February 2020. On 12 February, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the NASDAQ Composite, and S&P 500 Index all finished at record highs (while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 reached subsequent record highs on 19 February). From 24 to … More How Complexity Anticipates Black Swans – the 2020 Market Crash

How to ‘Fix’ Standard Deviations

Standard deviations are a popular and often useful measure of dispersion. To be sure, a standard deviation is merely the most likely deviation from the mean. It also doesn’t take into account the shape of the probability distribution function (this is done better using, for example, entropy, which is a more versatile measure of dispersion). … More How to ‘Fix’ Standard Deviations

How Sustainable is the World as a System?

Corporate sustainability, social responsibility and sustainability in general are trendy subjects nowadays. There exist numerous programmes, institutes and research centers dedicated to the subject of sustainability. One aspect such initiatives have in common is that they don’t provide measures of sustainability. On some occasions an index or a score is defined, whereby experts in different … More How Sustainable is the World as a System?

Complexity and Resilience Analysis of World Bank’s 2019 Development Indicators

Each year the World Bank publishes its Development Indicators data, which we analyze in order to measure and track the resilience and complexity of countries, macro regions and of the world as a system. The goal is to extract strategic and systemic information which may be useful to governments and government agencies especially in the … More Complexity and Resilience Analysis of World Bank’s 2019 Development Indicators